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USD & JPY on Bid as Risk Off Raises its Head

8 July 2021

USD at 3-month highs, Bonds rallied/Yields dived, Nasdaq & S&P hit another ATH. Seem familiar? FOMC minutes showed "Hawkish Tilt" & some members  up for tapering as early as this year – conditions could be “met somewhat earlier than  anticipated”. Asian equities down as risk off bites on Virus spikes, with  Sydney, Indonesia and South Korea mixed. USDIndex up to 92.82 yesterday – 92.70 now, EUR slips under 1.1800, JPY down to 110.25 & Cable under 1.3800 at 1.3775. Gold holds $1800, down from $1808, USOil down again at $71.15 now; what next for OPEC? 10yr yields dived under 1.300%.

Overnight – RBA’s Lowe acknowledged QE will be required for  foreseeable future, strong UK housing data, better data from JPY & German Trade balance missed expectations. Week Ahead – FOMC Minutes, RBA Rate Decision, ECB Growth Forecasts & Special Strategy Meeting.  

European Open – The September 10-year Bund future is higher, the 30-year outperforming, similar to developments in US futures. Yields continue to fall and curves flatten as markets adjust their tapering and central bank expectations amid the realization that the initial bounce back in activity is starting to level off –  high levels and  capacity constraints limiting the scope for a further acceleration in growth. In cash markets the US 10-year rate dropped back a further -1.2 bp to just 1.304%, and the German 10-year is set to fall further below the -0.3% mark. DAX and FTSE100 futures meanwhile are down -0.1% and -0.4% respectively and US futures are also in the red.

Today – ECB Minutes, Strategy Review Announcement and Lagarde Press Conference, US Initial & Continuing Unemployment Claims.

Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) NZDJPY (-0.96%). Rallied to 78.00 highs yesterday before closing at 77.60. Move lower today on JPY bid, under 77.00. Faster MAs aligned lower, RSI 26.70 OS and still falling rising, MACD signal line & histogram remain significantly below 0 line & falling. H1 ATR 0.0015, Daily ATR 0.0065.




USD/JPY sticks to its consolidative theme
USD/JPY sticks to its consolidative theme

USD/JPY remains side-lined for the time being, note FX Strategists at UOB Group Lee Sue Ann and Quek Ser Leang. Yesterday, we highlighted that ‘upward momentum has slowed and USD is unlikely...

5 Aug 2022

USD/JPY pares intraday losses to multi-week low
USD/JPY pares intraday losses to multi-week low

USD/JPY stages a goodish bounce from a multi-week low touched earlier this Friday. Recovering US bond yields help revive the USD demand and offers support to the pair...

29 Jul 2022

The Yen updated the lows
The Yen updated the lows

USDJPY reached new highs – the “greenback” continues to get stronger. The Japanese Yen plunged against the USD. The current quote for the instrument is 137.02. A new high for the pair is at 137.28....

11 Jul 2022

The Yen may drop
The Yen may drop

USDJPY is preparing a new attack on the highs. The Japanese Yen is slowly falling against the USD. The current quote for the instrument is 136.16. The statistics published...

8 Jul 2022

200-hour SMA, around 135.60 might continue to cap the upside
200-hour SMA, around 135.60 might continue to cap the upside

USD/JPY recovered a few pips from the daily low, though lacked any follow-through buying. Ascending trend-line breakdown and failure near the 200-hour SMA favours bearish traders...

4 Jul 2022

The Yen hit new lows
The Yen hit new lows

USDJPY updated its 24-year highs and may continue rising. The Japanese Yen hit a new 24-year low against the USD. The current quote for the instrument is 136.25. The high in USDJPY...

22 Jun 2022

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