HFM information and reviews
HFM
96%
Octa information and reviews
Octa
94%
FXCC information and reviews
FXCC
92%
FxPro information and reviews
FxPro
89%
FBS information and reviews
FBS
88%
Vantage information and reviews
Vantage
85%

XAU/USD remains on the defensive around $1,925 ahead of US PCE


27 January 2023

Gold price remains on the defensive for the second straight day amid modest US Dollar strength. Thursday’s upbeat US macro data fuels hawkish Fed expectations and underpins the greenback. A positive risk tone furtehr exerts pressure on safe-haven XAU/USD ahead of the US PCE data. The market focus will remain glued to the highly-anticipated FOMC policy meeting next week.

Gold price trades with a mild negative bias for the second successive day on Friday and hovers around the $1,925 region during the early European session. The intraday downtick, however, lacks follow-through, warranting some caution before positioning for a deeper corrective pullback from a nine-month peak touched the previous day.

Modest dollar strength weighs on gold price

The US Dollar (USD) draws support from Thursday's mostly upbeat macro data from the United States (US) and turns out to be a key factor weighing on Gold price. In fact, the US Commerce Department reported that the world's largest economy expanded at a 2.9% annualised pace during the fourth quarter against consensus estimates for a reading of 2.6%. This points to an economy that continues to show resilience despite the rapid rise in borrowing costs and backs the case for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to maintain its hawkish stance for longer. This, in turn, pushes the US Treasury bond yields higher and underpins the greenback.

Positive risk tone further undermines safe-haven XAU/USD

The robust economic indicators from the US ease recession fears and boost investors' confidence, which is evident from a generally positive tone around the equity markets. This is seen as another factor exerting some pressure on the safe-haven Gold price. The downside for the XAU/USD, meanwhile, seems cushioned as traders seem reluctant ahead of Friday's release of the Fed's preferred inflation gauge - the US Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index.

This will influence the Fed's rate-hike path, which, in turn, will drive the USD demand and provide a fresh directional impetus to the non-yielding yellow metal.

Focus remains on Federal Reserve decision next week

The focus, however, remains on the outcome of a two-day Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, scheduled to be announced next Wednesday. The markets still seem convinced that the US central bank will soften its stance and have been pricing in a greater chance of a 25 bps rate hike on February 1. Heading into the key central bank event risk, traders might refrain from placing aggressive bets. This further makes it prudent to wait for strong follow-through selling before confirming that Gold price has topped out in the near term.

Gold price technical outlook

From a technical perspective, any further slide below the $1,920 resistance breakpoint, now turned support, is likely to attract fresh buyers around the $1,911-$1,910 support zone. This, in turn, should help limit the downside for the XAU/USD near the $1,900 round-figure mark. The latter should act as a pivotal point, which if broken decisively might shift the near-term bias in favour of bearish traders and pave the way for a meaningful corrective decline.

On the flip side, the multi-month peak, around the $1,949 area touched on Thursday, now seems to have emerged as an immediate strong barrier. Some follow-through buying has the potential to lift the Gold price to the $1,969-$1,970 region. The momentum could get extended further, which should allow the XAU/USD bulls to surpass an intermediate hurdle near the $1,980 zone and reclaim the $2,000 psychological mark for the first time since March 2022.

#source

Share: Tweet this or Share on Facebook


Related

What will happen to the gold price in 2024: Octa forecast
What will happen to the gold price in 2024: Octa forecast

According to many analysts' forecasts, the price of gold may increase in 2024. Octa explains in the article what factors will influence the dynamics of the gold price and what will happen to the market this year.

8 Mar 2024

EUR/USD Shows Strength Amid Anticipation of Key Events
EUR/USD Shows Strength Amid Anticipation of Key Events

The EUR/USD pair is exhibiting resilience, navigating around the 1.0850 mark on Tuesday, following a sequence of rises in the previous two sessions.

5 Mar 2024

Dollar stays on the backfoot ahead of key data, yen enjoys CPI lift
Dollar stays on the backfoot ahead of key data, yen enjoys CPI lift

Traders await some key data releases, RBNZ decision amid quiet start to the week. Yen broadly firmer after CPI beat, adds to dollar weakness as euro extends gains. Equity rally loses some steam but Bitcoin surges.

27 Feb 2024

Bitcoin and Ether in area of light resistance
Bitcoin and Ether in area of light resistance

The crypto market capitalisation reached $1.99 trillion, according to CoinMarketCap estimates, an increase of over 10% in one week. Forbes estimates that the $2 trillion mark was reached last week.

19 Feb 2024

Crypto Market Takes a Breather Amidst the Storm: A Detailed Analysis
Crypto Market Takes a Breather Amidst the Storm: A Detailed Analysis

The Crypto Market Displays Stability with Bitcoin Around $40K: In the midst of the ever-volatile cryptocurrency landscape, the last 24 hours have provided a moment of respite as the market capitalization hovers...

25 Jan 2024

WTI Crude Futures Eye Critical 61.8% Fibonacci Level in Upward Surge
WTI Crude Futures Eye Critical 61.8% Fibonacci Level in Upward Surge

WTI Futures Break Above Key Resistance, Eyeing Fibonacci Milestone: Positive Momentum Indicators Suggest Potential for Further Gains. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil futures...

25 Jan 2024


Editors' Picks

The Top Forex Expert Advisors 2024: Performance, Strategy, and Reliability Review

An annual roundup reviewing the most successful Forex Expert Advisors (EAs) based on their performance, strategies employed, reliability, and user feedback. This piece would provide insights into which EAs have been market leaders and why.

The Evolution of Forex Expert Advisors: Navigating the Path of Technological Revolution

The concept of automated trading has been around for decades, but the accessibility and sophistication of Forex EAs have seen significant advancements in the past few years. Initially, automated trading systems were rudimentary, focusing on simple indicators like moving averages.

The Impact of EAs on Forex Trading: A Double-Edged Sword

By enabling continuous, algorithm-based trading, EAs contribute to the efficiency of the Forex market. They can instantly react to market movements and news events, providing liquidity and stabilizing currency prices through their high-volume trading activities.

MultiBank Group information and reviews
MultiBank Group
84%
XM information and reviews
XM
82%
FP Markets information and reviews
FP Markets
81%
FXTM information and reviews
FXTM
80%
AMarkets information and reviews
AMarkets
79%
BlackBull information and reviews
BlackBull
78%

© 2006-2024 Forex-Ratings.com

The usage of this website constitutes acceptance of the following legal information.
Any contracts of financial instruments offered to conclude bear high risks and may result in the full loss of the deposited funds. Prior to making transactions one should get acquainted with the risks to which they relate. All the information featured on the website (reviews, brokers' news, comments, analysis, quotes, forecasts or other information materials provided by Forex Ratings, as well as information provided by the partners), including graphical information about the forex companies, brokers and dealing desks, is intended solely for informational purposes, is not a means of advertising them, and doesn't imply direct instructions for investing. Forex Ratings shall not be liable for any loss, including unlimited loss of funds, which may arise directly or indirectly from the usage of this information. The editorial staff of the website does not bear any responsibility whatsoever for the content of the comments or reviews made by the site users about the forex companies. The entire responsibility for the contents rests with the commentators. Reprint of the materials is available only with the permission of the editorial staff.
We use cookies to improve your experience and to make your stay with us more comfortable. By using Forex-Ratings.com website you agree to the cookies policy.