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How boost in Fed rate affects the commodity markets


9 May 2023

The economy is always unpredictable, and fluctuations in the prices of various commodities accompany it. The increase in food prices and decline in gold prices have recently been the main issues in the commodity market. The main reason for these problems is the boost of Federal Reserve rates. Furthermore, the rate hike is expected to cause further affect the major commodity market. In this article, we will look at the impact of the rising interest rates on the food and gold markets and the solutions to these problems. 

Effect on the food prices

Several factors have added to the increase in food prices. The cost of borrowing money for businesses increases when the Fed raises interest rates. As a result, production costs increase passed on to customers as increased pricing. So the recent spike, however, has been significantly influenced by the Federal Reserve rate hike. The Federal Reserve rate boost has caused the production cost for farmers and food producers, leading to higher food prices. This increase in food prices has a major impact on the economy, especially for low-income households that spend a large portion of their income on food. 

The increase in food prices also has a more significant effect on the economy. As people spend more money on food, they have less money for other goods and services, which can result in slower economic growth. In addition, a rise in food prices can lead to inflation and affect the economy.  

Effect on gold prices

Gold is a precious metal often considered a safe-haven investment during economic volatility. However, the Federal Reserve’s rate boost has led to a decline in the price of gold. The increase in interest rate makes it more expensive to keep gold at hand, and this will make it less appealing to investors. In addition, the rate hike can lead to a stronger US dollar which can further lead to depreciation in the price of gold. 

The decline in gold prices can have a significant effect on the economy. For example, the mining companies that extract gold may face a decline in profitability, leading to a decrease in investment and employment. Countries that rely mostly on gold exports will most likely suffer from decreased revenue. 

Following a record high of over $2,080 per ounce on Friday, the price of gold for June delivery on the New York Comex ended the day down 1.5% and up 2% for the week. The benchmark gold futures contract was trading at a little under $2,029 on Monday, up around 0.2%. According to Sunil Kumar Dixit, chief technical strategist at SKCharting.Com, the gold spot price has to retake the $2,028-$2,032 range to resume the uptrend, which will have $2,050 and $2,080 as its targets, he said. 

Further consequences of the Federal Reserve rate hike

The Federal Reserve rate boost may further impact the commodity market, which might influence the economy. For instance, a rise in interest rates may cause a drop in oil demand, which may result in a drop in oil prices. The rate increase may also impact the housing sector because higher mortgage rates could slow home sales. The major commodity market is anticipated to have more consequences from the Fed rate hike. Interest rate increases have an impact on commodities like oil and gas. The cost of borrowing money for enterprises increases as interest rates rise, which results in less demand for these commodities. Prices could decrease as a result, which would hurt the economy. 

Additionally, the rate increase may result in a strengthening of the currency, raising the cost of imports for nations that depend on the dollar. This might cause the demand for certain commodities to drop, hurting commodity exporters. 

The employment data for April released on Friday dispelled concerns about the possibility of a recession by demonstrating that wage growth and job creation are still robust. 

What are the solutions to these problems?

Considerable problems that must be resolved to stabilize the economy include the increase in food prices and the drop-in gold prices. A healthy balance between monetary and fiscal policies is the answer. The Federal Reserve may consider lowering interest rates to lower borrowing costs, which could reduce the cost of production for farmers and food producers. The government can also consider measures like tax breaks and subsidies to promote the food business. 

The government may promote the gold industry, such as lowering taxes on gold exports, to address the decrease in gold prices. It should also consider diversifying its exports to lessen its reliance on gold exports. 

Making investments in infrastructure development by the government is one way to address the issues brought on by the Fed rate hike. As a result, more jobs and economic growth will raise demand for products and services and lessen the impact of the increases.  Government funding for renewable energy sources is another option. This will lessen the demand for commodities like oil and gas, susceptible to variations in interest rates, and ultimately aid in stabilizing commodity market prices.  

Are there hopes for the commodity market?

The rise in food prices and the drop in gold prices significantly impact the economy. The main reason for these problems is the Federal Reserve’s rate hike. The rate increase impacts markets other than those for food and gold, which could negatively impact the economy. The answer to these issues lies in balancing monetary and fiscal policy, which includes lowering interest rates and putting subsidies and tax breaks in place. 

The significant commodity market should see additional consequences due to the rate hike. The government must proactively promote economic growth and stabilize market prices, but there are answers to these issues. By doing this, we can reduce the rate increase’s effects and ensure that everyone lives in a stable and productive economy. 

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